“中國(guó)全球好感度上升,對(duì)美國(guó)的看法轉(zhuǎn)為負(fù)面”,美國(guó)Axios網(wǎng)站6月2日援引美國(guó)晨間咨詢公司一項(xiàng)調(diào)查獨(dú)家報(bào)道稱,美國(guó)的貿(mào)易政策“正在讓中國(guó)再次偉大”,而美國(guó)的全球好感度則因此下降。
US trade policy is making China great again — at the United States' expense, per an analysis from Morning Consult that looks at global favorability ratings, and finds China's rising while America's falls.
據(jù)報(bào)道,美國(guó)晨間咨詢公司對(duì)加拿大、法國(guó)、日本、俄羅斯和英國(guó)等41個(gè)國(guó)家的成年人的中美兩國(guó)好感度數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行追蹤,截至5月底,中國(guó)的全球凈好感度(即對(duì)某國(guó)持正面看法的受訪者比例減去持負(fù)面看法的受訪者比例)為8.8,而美國(guó)的這一數(shù)據(jù)為-1.5。
Morning Consult surveyed adults in 41 countries including Canada, France, Japan, Russia and the UK.
As of the end of May, China had an 8.8 net favorability rating, compared to -1.5 for the US, according to favorability data for last month provided exclusively to Axios by Morning Consult.
The data tracks net favorability ratings, or the share of respondents with a positive view of a country minus those with a negative view.
中國(guó)和美國(guó)的全球凈好感度 圖源:Axios報(bào)道截圖
美國(guó)晨間咨詢公司政治情報(bào)主管杰森·麥克曼(Jason McMann)在報(bào)告中總結(jié)稱,中國(guó)的全球地位自該機(jī)構(gòu)進(jìn)行相關(guān)追蹤以來(lái)首次超越美國(guó),受調(diào)查國(guó)家包含美國(guó)最重要的經(jīng)濟(jì)和軍事伙伴,這“顯然是對(duì)美國(guó)軟實(shí)力的一次打擊”。Axios提及,美國(guó)去年很大程度上保持了正面的聲譽(yù),但這一數(shù)據(jù)在特朗普就任后急劇下降。
China's rating has been negative going back to October 2020, when Morning Consult first began tracking; it started trending into positive terrain after election day last year.
“自2025年1月以來(lái),絕大多數(shù)國(guó)家對(duì)美國(guó)的看法同時(shí)變差,并對(duì)中國(guó)的看法同時(shí)改善。”麥克曼寫道,“只有俄羅斯對(duì)美國(guó)的看法有顯著改善。”調(diào)查發(fā)現(xiàn),2025年初,41個(gè)國(guó)家中29個(gè)國(guó)家對(duì)美國(guó)的好感度高于中國(guó),但截至4月30日,僅剩13個(gè)國(guó)家更支持美國(guó),而許多在年初就支持中國(guó)的國(guó)家,如今變得更加支持中國(guó)。
"Since January 2025, the overwhelming majority of countries simultaneously exhibit worsening views of the United States and improving views of China," McMann writes. "Only in Russia have views of America meaningfully improved."
值得注意的是,全球?qū)χ袊?guó)好感度上升在今年3月以后更加明顯,在特朗普宣布“解放日”關(guān)稅后更是大幅上升;而美國(guó)的這一數(shù)據(jù)僅在特朗普政府5月初同意暫時(shí)削減對(duì)華關(guān)稅后,才略有回升。不過(guò),Axios指出,特朗普上周五無(wú)端指責(zé)中國(guó)“徹底違反協(xié)議”后,又讓這一緩和局面岌岌可危。
Most of China's improvements have come since March — including a sharp tick up after Trump's "Liberation Day" tariff announcements.
America's favorability started edging up a smidge after the president agreed to slash tariffs on China earlier in May (see the chart above). But on Friday, Trump said China "totally violated the deal," all but blowing up the fragile detente.
來(lái)源:Axios 環(huán)球時(shí)報(bào)
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